UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Georgia State
  
Georgia State         
W-L: (24-31) PR = 91.3994

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Drexel CA ( 0- 1, 83.1) 11- 2 206 A Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 7- 1 207 A West Georgia ASUN ( 1- 7, 89.4) 11- 6 207 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 8- 3 208 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 1- 4, 88.6) 13- 8 213 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 3 213 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 8- 9 214 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 0- 1 214 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1-11 215 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 4- 7 219 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2- 5 220 H Yale IVY ( 2- 5, 87.4) 3- 1 220 H Yale IVY ( 2- 5, 87.4) 15- 0 221 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 7- 3 222 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6-12 225 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 8- 0 227 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 0 228 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 10-11 301 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 0 301 A Charleston CA ( 2-13, 87.9) 7- 0 304 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 306 A Winthrop BSO ( 1- 9, 85.9) 0- 1 307 A Winthrop BSO ( 1- 9, 85.9) 12- 0 307 A Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 3- 2 310 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 9- 5 313 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 2- 1 314 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 3 315 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 7 317 H Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 8- 7 320 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1- 3 321 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 2- 4 322 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1- 2 325 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 1- 3 327 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 15- 8 328 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 1- 5 329 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 7- 8 331 A Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 7- 8 402 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3- 4 403 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 2- 7 404 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 7- 1 407 A Western Carolina SO ( 0- 6, 86.8) 9- 1 407 A Western Carolina SO ( 0- 6, 86.8) 8- 6 410 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 3 411 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 4 412 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 7 417 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 0- 7 418 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 4 419 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 0- 6 421 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 4- 0 424 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3- 4 424 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 6- 9 426 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 3- 2 430 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 4 501 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 4- 6 502 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 2- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Drexel                 11- 2       9     9           0.00
   206 A Austin Peay             7- 1       6     3    +      2.79
   207 A West Georgia           11- 6       5     1    +      3.72
   207 H Austin Peay             8- 3       5     5           0.31
   208 A Bellarmine             13- 8       5     2    +      2.93
   213 A SE Louisiana            2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.01
   213 A Northwestern State      8- 9      -1     1          -1.63
   214 H Sam Houston             1-11     -10     1    ---  -10.50
   215 A Louisiana Tech          4- 7      -3    -2          -0.87
   219 A Georgia Tech            2- 5      -3    -4           1.18
   220 H Yale                    3- 1       2     5    -     -2.77
   220 H Yale                   15- 0      15     5    +++    9.23
   221 H Purdue                  7- 3       4    -2    +++    6.31
   222 A Marshall                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.79
   225 A Charleston Southern     8- 0       8     5    +      3.17
   227 A Charleston              3- 0       3     3           0.22
   228 A Charleston             10-11      -1     3    -     -3.78
   301 A Charleston              7- 0       7     3    ++     4.22
   301 A Charleston              7- 0       7     3    ++     4.22
   304 A Georgia                 1- 9      -8    -7          -0.96
   307 A Winthrop               12- 0      12     5    +++    7.26
   307 A Bucknell                3- 2       1     2          -1.06
   310 H Kennesaw State          9- 5       4     4          -0.15
   313 H Marshall                2- 1       1    -2    +      2.73
   314 H Marshall                1- 3      -2    -2          -0.27
   315 H Marshall                1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.27
   317 H Alabama State           8- 7       1     5    --    -4.01
   320 A Troy                    1- 3      -2    -2           0.10
   321 A Troy                    2- 4      -2    -2           0.10
   322 A Troy                    1- 2      -1    -2           1.10
   325 A Georgia Tech            1- 3      -2    -4    +      2.18
   327 H Indiana                15- 8       7    -4    +++   11.09
   328 H UL Monroe               1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.50
   329 A App State               7- 8      -1    -2           1.01
   331 A Chattanooga             7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.21
   402 H Coastal Carolina        3- 4      -1     1          -1.66
   403 H Coastal Carolina        2- 7      -5     1    --    -5.66
   404 H Coastal Carolina        7- 1       6     1    ++     5.34
   407 A Western Carolina        9- 1       8     4    ++     4.17
   407 A Western Carolina        8- 6       2     4          -1.83
   410 A South Alabama           4- 3       1    -2    +      2.72
   411 A South Alabama           0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.28
   412 A South Alabama           1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.28
   417 H UL Monroe               0- 7      -7     0    ---   -6.50
   418 H UL Monroe               2- 4      -2     0          -1.50
   419 H UL Monroe               0- 6      -6     0    --    -5.50
   421 A Kennesaw State          4- 0       4     3           1.33
   424 A James Madison           3- 4      -1    -2           1.07
   424 A James Madison           6- 9      -3    -2          -0.93
   426 H Michigan State          3- 2       1     2          -0.56
   430 A Texas State             1- 4      -3    -3          -0.05
   501 H Georgia Southern        4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.50
   502 H Georgia Southern        2- 7      -5     1    ---   -6.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Sam Houston             1-11     -10     1    ---  -10.50
   417 H UL Monroe               0- 7      -7     0    ---   -6.50
   502 H Georgia Southern        2- 7      -5     1    ---   -6.50
   315 H Marshall                1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.27
   317 H Alabama State           8- 7       1     5    --    -4.01
   403 H Coastal Carolina        2- 7      -5     1    --    -5.66
   412 A South Alabama           1- 7      -6    -2    --    -4.28
   419 H UL Monroe               0- 6      -6     0    --    -5.50
   220 H Yale                    3- 1       2     5    -     -2.77
   222 A Marshall                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.79
   228 A Charleston             10-11      -1     3    -     -3.78
   328 H UL Monroe               1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.50
   331 A Chattanooga             7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.21
   411 A South Alabama           0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.28
   501 H Georgia Southern        4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Yale                   15- 0      15     5    +++    9.23
   221 H Purdue                  7- 3       4    -2    +++    6.31
   307 A Winthrop               12- 0      12     5    +++    7.26
   327 H Indiana                15- 8       7    -4    +++   11.09
   301 A Charleston              7- 0       7     3    ++     4.22
   301 A Charleston              7- 0       7     3    ++     4.22
   404 H Coastal Carolina        7- 1       6     1    ++     5.34
   407 A Western Carolina        9- 1       8     4    ++     4.17
   206 A Austin Peay             7- 1       6     3    +      2.79
   207 A West Georgia           11- 6       5     1    +      3.72
   208 A Bellarmine             13- 8       5     2    +      2.93
   213 A SE Louisiana            2- 3      -1    -3    +      2.01
   225 A Charleston Southern     8- 0       8     5    +      3.17
   313 H Marshall                2- 1       1    -2    +      2.73
   325 A Georgia Tech            1- 3      -2    -4    +      2.18
   410 A South Alabama           4- 3       1    -2    +      2.72

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Drexel          ( 0- 1, 83.1)    11- 2      -16.76       2.61      -0.74         0.46             1.71
   3 A Austin Peay     ( 0- 7, 87.4)     7- 1      -12.45       6.92       0.74         0.46             7.02
   3 A West Georgia    ( 1- 7, 89.4)    11- 6      -10.52       8.85       0.74         0.46             8.79
   3 H Austin Peay     ( 0- 7, 87.4)     8- 3      -12.45       6.92      -0.74         0.46             5.66
   3 A Bellarmine      ( 1- 4, 88.6)    13- 8      -11.32       8.05       0.74         0.46             8.06
   3 A SE Louisiana    (12-15, 93.7)     2- 3       -6.23      13.14       0.74         0.46            -1.26
   3 A Northwestern S  ( 3-11, 90.0)     8- 9       -9.87       9.50       0.74         0.46            -2.09
   3 H Nicholls        ( 8-10, 92.4)     0- 1       -7.53      11.84      -0.74         0.46            -1.90
   3 H Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     1-11       -8.26      11.11      -0.74         0.46            -2.06
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     4- 7       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.46            -1.46
   3 A Georgia Tech    (35-26, 94.8)     2- 5       -5.06      14.31       0.74         0.46            -0.99
   3 H Yale            ( 2- 5, 87.4)     3- 1      -12.53       6.84      -0.74         0.46             5.59
   3 H Yale            ( 2- 5, 87.4)    15- 0      -12.53       6.84      -0.74         0.46             5.59
   3 H Purdue          (36-17, 94.5)     7- 3       -5.45      13.92      -0.74         0.46            12.08
   3 A Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     6-12       -6.03      13.34       0.74         0.46            -1.21
   3 A Charleston Sou  ( 0- 9, 85.8)     8- 0      -14.07       5.30       0.74         0.46             5.54
   3 A Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)     3- 0      -12.02       7.35       0.74         0.46             7.42
   3 A Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)    10-11      -12.02       7.35       0.74         0.46            -2.58
   3 A Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)     7- 0      -12.02       7.35       0.74         0.46             7.42
   3 A Charleston      ( 2-13, 87.9)     7- 0      -12.02       7.35       0.74         0.46             7.42
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     1- 9       -2.21      17.16       0.74         0.46            -0.34
   3 A Winthrop        ( 1- 9, 85.9)     0- 1      -13.99       5.38       0.74         0.46            -3.03
   3 A Winthrop        ( 1- 9, 85.9)    12- 0      -13.99       5.38       0.74         0.46             5.62
   3 A Bucknell        ( 0- 6, 88.6)     3- 2      -11.31       8.06       0.74         0.46             8.07
   3 H Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)     9- 5      -11.91       7.46      -0.74         0.46             6.16
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     2- 1       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.46            11.54
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     1- 3       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.46            -1.55
   3 H Marshall        (37-19, 93.9)     1- 7       -6.03      13.34      -0.74         0.46            -1.55
   3 H Alabama State   ( 1-11, 87.1)     8- 7      -12.77       6.60      -0.74         0.46             5.37
   3 A Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     1- 3       -7.14      12.23       0.74         0.46            -1.47
   3 A Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     2- 4       -7.14      12.23       0.74         0.46            -1.47
   3 A Troy            (31-20, 92.8)     1- 2       -7.14      12.23       0.74         0.46            -1.47
   3 A Georgia Tech    (35-26, 94.8)     1- 3       -5.06      14.31       0.74         0.46            -0.99
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)    15- 8       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         0.46            13.71
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     1- 5       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.46            -1.83
   3 A App State       (29-22, 92.7)     7- 8       -7.23      12.14       0.74         0.46            -1.49
   3 A Chattanooga     ( 3-11, 88.4)     7- 8      -11.45       7.92       0.74         0.46            -2.45
   3 H Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     3- 4       -8.42      10.95      -0.74         0.46            -2.10
   3 H Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     2- 7       -8.42      10.95      -0.74         0.46            -2.10
   3 H Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     7- 1       -8.42      10.95      -0.74         0.46             9.36
   3 A Western Caroli  ( 0- 6, 86.8)     9- 1      -13.08       6.29       0.74         0.46             6.45
   3 A Western Caroli  ( 0- 6, 86.8)     8- 6      -13.08       6.29       0.74         0.46             6.45
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     4- 3       -7.52      11.85       0.74         0.46            11.54
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     0- 4       -7.52      11.85       0.74         0.46            -1.55
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     1- 7       -7.52      11.85       0.74         0.46            -1.55
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     0- 7       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.46            -1.83
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     2- 4       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.46            -1.83
   3 H UL Monroe       (36-21, 92.6)     0- 6       -7.26      12.11      -0.74         0.46            -1.83
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)     4- 0      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.46             7.52
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     3- 4       -7.17      12.20       0.74         0.46            -1.47
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     6- 9       -7.17      12.20       0.74         0.46            -1.47
   3 H Michigan State  (18-33, 90.6)     3- 2       -9.31      10.06      -0.74         0.46             8.54
   3 A Texas State     (36-23, 93.6)     1- 4       -6.29      13.08       0.74         0.46            -1.27
   3 H Georgia Southe  (19-31, 90.6)     4- 6       -9.26      10.11      -0.74         0.46            -2.29
   3 H Georgia Southe  (19-31, 90.6)     2- 7       -9.26      10.11      -0.74         0.46            -2.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       129.82

winning pts = 182.6207 losing points = -52.7973

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------